Guatemalan government is formed on a basis of proportional representation. Their legislative branch is a unicameral
organization, called the Congress of the Republic. It consists of 158 members in total. 127 representatives are elected from the 22 districts,
called departments, in Guatemala1.
A department is equivalent to a state in the USA. District magnitude is calculated by dividing
the number of districts into the number of representatives. According to that formula, the district
magnitude is about 5.8 representatives per district2. The other 31 are national representatives
elected from one nationwide district.
Both groups are chosen from separate, closed party lists, and are
selected using the D’hondt method3.
In Guatemala, there is no minimum threshold to gain seats in congress, so
as long as a party secures enough votes, they can win some seats. So there you have it, those are the basic
electoral rules for Guatemala.
According to Duverger’s Law, systems of proportional representation tend
to favor multiparty systems, while SMDP rules tend to favor 2 major
parties. In the 2011 elections of
Guatemala, there were 11 political parties that competed and gain 1% or more of
the vote in the general elections. In
the following table is the data necessary to investigate Duvergers law.
Political Party
|
Percentage of Vote (p)
|
P2
|
Patriotic
Party (PP)
|
.2662
|
.0708
|
National Unity for Hope
Party (UNE) - Great National Alliance (GANA)
|
.2257
|
.0509
|
Nationalist
Change Union (UCN)
|
.095
|
.009
|
Democratic
Renewed Liberty (LIDER)
|
.0887
|
.0079
|
Commitment,
Renewal and Order (CREO)
|
.0867
|
.0075
|
Vision
with Values (VIVA) - Encounter for Guatemala (EG)
|
.0787
|
.006
|
WINAQ-URNG-MAIZ-ANN
|
.0323
|
.001
|
National
Advancement Party (PAN)
|
.0312
|
<.001
|
Unionist
Party (UNIONISTA)
|
.027
|
<.001
|
Guatemalan
Republican Front (FRG)
|
.0274
|
<.001
|
Victory
(Victoria)
|
.0162
|
<.001
|
According to
Duvergers Law, the number of effective parties can be expressed
Using the
numbers from the table, the number of effective parties in Guatemala is 6.37. In this case, Guatemala has proved Duverger’s
Law to be correct. Proportional
representation encourages a multiparty system, and in Guatemala, there is a
thriving multiparty political system. I
think part of that has to do with the fact that there are no thresholds. When thresholds are employed, the
proportional representation gets skewed to represent fewer parties, thus making
the effective number of parties drop.
Without thresholds, people can be truly represented, no matter how small
their group is, and an accurate number of effective parties can be
calculated. This can be used to more
accurately show the political preferences of a country and how diverse on a
general level they are.
I agree that when thresholds are put in place, smaller parties are underrepresented. There was a similar case in Brazil
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