John Lazenby
Blog 7
Duverger’s
law predicts that a proportional representation electoral system will yield more
than two parties while a SMDP will yield only two. This blog will investigate
if this law holds true based on the electoral system, and the effective number
of parties in Argentina.
Argentina
uses a proportional representation system to elect its lower house of
parliament, the Chamber of Deputies. There are 24 multi-member constituencies and
257 seats, so the average district magnitude is a little less than 11 representatives
per district. They allocate the seats in their proportional representation
system using the d’Hondt method. The system is not a hybrid, so all of its
seats are allocated using proportional representation. There is a threshold set
at 3% of the total vote in a single district (Inter-Parliamentary Union). They
use a closed list structure (Election Guide).
By using the formula we learned in class, the inverse of the sum of the
share of seats squared, one learns that there are four effective parties in
Argentina. Because there are four effective parties in Argentina, and Argentina
uses a proportional representation system, Duverger’s law holds true in
Argentina as it predicts that a proportional representation system will yield
more than two effective parties.
Works Cited
Inter-Parliamentary
Union, http://www.ipu.org/parline-e/reports/2011_B.htm,
viewed 11/2/12
Electionguide, http://electionguide.org/election.php?ID=1944,
viewed 11/2/12
Very concise, quick analysis. I like it. It could use a slightly deeper discussion of the equation, but good overall.
ReplyDeleteshort and sweet. just like I like it.
ReplyDelete