Blog 9: Good Governance
To
study the relationship between economic development and good government, I
conglomerated data for 186 countries and compared them.
To
measure economic development, I used the World Development Indicator’s database
to gather data for state’s GDP per capita for 2011. This measures the average
citizen’s yearly income, in US dollars, for the year of 2011. This is a great
measure of a state’s standard of living, which in turn gives me insight into
that state’s level of economic development. Obviously, if citizens are earning
more money on average, then the state is more likely to be developed.
To
measure good government, I used Transparency International’s Corruption
Perception Index. This index gives states a composite score on a scale of 1-10
by combining polls from reputable institutions that measure corruption-related
data, such as abuse of public power, bribery of public officials, and
embezzlement of public funds (Transparency International). This index combines
a lot of good data and is a solid representation of the level of corruption in
a state. If a state has a low level of corruption, we can assume it has better
governance.
By
looking at my graph, we can see a fairly strong linear correlation between
economic development and level of corruption. States that are ranked as being
less corrupt (closer to 10) tend to have higher a higher GDP per capita. The
states with the highest level of corruption are mostly clumped together, and
the trend of a higher GDP becomes clearer past the corruption level of 4.
However,
the relationship is not perfect. There are a few outliers, and they tend to be
oil-producing states. States like Kuwait, in the Middle East, have a
disproportionately high GDP in comparison to their corruption level due to
being rich in this valuable resource. Their wealth does not stem from a history
of strong, corruption-free government, but instead has spiked. If these states
continue to rely on this un-renewable resource as the staple of their
economies, we might see a crash in their GDP in the future.
I
think these results are quite sensible. To have a high GDP per capita, a state
must provide opportunities to its citizens and have a relatively good
distribution of wealth among its citizens. A corrupt state is generally one
where power is largely consolidated at the top, which leaves less opportunity
for those at the bottom. There is less incentive to improve the state as a
whole, and instead incentive to stay in power and make money. Rich states that
do not rely on a single resource are generally going to have a more educated
populace with stronger skill sets that have better opportunities to make money.
The government will be seen as legitimate by the people, and corruption will
not be tolerated because power is more spread out.
REFERENCES
Samuels, David J. 2012. Comparative Politics. New Jersey: Pearson
Education
Transparency International. Corruption Perceptions Index. http://www.transparency.org/research/cpi/overview
(accessed November 15, 2012).
World Bank. World Development Indicators.
http://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/world- development-indicators
(accessed November 15, 2012).
I liked your discussion about the outliers and the way that they are explained by your theory. That showed great understanding of the relationship between the two variables. Good job.
ReplyDeleteYou made a sensible argument. I liked how you made a hypothesis as to why there were outliers.
ReplyDeleteI like that you used the word conglomerated.
ReplyDeleteOverall a solid effort. It was clear and clean, but I would have liked a little more explanation of the graph. Going the extra mile would have been to show the (much less linear) 2010 year. you would have seen then that those handful of points that make the majority of your nicely linear line were actually not there at all the year before. Why do you think that is? Does it change your theory?
ReplyDeleteAndrew Muhlestein